The pandemic: NOT over

The U.S. government’s best estimates project a daily death toll rising to 3000-people per day by the end of June.

As President Trump presses for states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of cases and deaths from the coronavirus over the next several weeks, reaching about 3,000 daily deaths on June 1, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times, nearly double from the current level of about 1,750.

The bald numbers don’t tell the entire story, however. In my home county of Franklin, North Carolina, there are 104-case of coronavirus, and there have been 19-deaths.

Death number 19 was the first death of a non-nursing home resident, something that wasn’t made public until it occurred. In other words, the first 18-deaths were concentrated in nursing homes, and it was news when a death occurred that wasn’t related to a nursing home. I had no idea, and neither did the news media; apparently, a county official casually mentioned the fact to a reporter.

The implication is this:

  1. I was worrying unnecessarily when I went into a store to pick-up this or that, and …

  2. Now I should be worrying; instead of receding, the pandemic is just getting started in Franklin County.

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