Winter Solstice

Today is the Winter Solstice — the real reason for the season — so I am republishing a post from this date 2-years ago.

In truth, the solstices hardly matter any more, and I imagine that most folk barely notice; perhaps there is an offhand mention of it during the television weather report. After all, we no longer are eager for the game to return so that we have assurance of food. Why worry — we have chicken-to-go! But the winter solstice was a genuine-article Big Deal for millennia; it signified that fields would soon freshen, game would return to the forests, the air would be warm. All over the world, ancient peoples built observatories spread across an acre or more; the projects must have required years, and the cost of labor and missed opportunities must have been huge.

And, of course, this day of least sunshine figured heavily in the religious narratives relied upon to understand the world, and all religions made much of this solstice. Basically, Christianity simply appropriated this promising, forward-looking day and attached to it a made-up a story about a savior’s birth. We all know how that worked-out.

No Winter Solstice ever passes but that I find myself imagining what must have been the experience of that first person who recognized that there is regularity in the cosmos.

What triggered the insight? What set of circumstances caused the caveman Poogah to realize that the stars were aligned just like now when the days were last cold just like now and the game had moved south just like now? How staggering it must have been to realize that he lived in the middle of a giant clock.

How long did he wait to speak of it? Did he watch carefully for two or three years before telling the rest of his tribe what he had recognized, in order to be certain, or did he share that insight at once? And what words did he use, when the words had never before been needed to explain a thought that nobody had ever had?

Did the local Holy Man, with responsibility for teasing blessings from a random and hostile universe, condemn him for impiety?

Whatever happened, it must be counted one of the great moments of human history, for afterward the world became predictable and perhaps manageable. There are ancient observatories all over the earth, and always it can be seen that the stones were arranged to point toward the rising sun on this day of least daylight, signifying that on the morrow the day would be longer and soon the game would return and the fields would freshen. We know our ancient forebears attached great importance to the day, because the work of building the observatories was huge and construction of the observatories would have required years.

Thus were science and engineering born.

Nowadays, of course, it hardly matters. The passing of the seasons has nothing to do with whether or not there will be food to eat, and the greatest part of mankind will probably not pause to remark the solstice at all or even, if only vaguely, wonder why there are so many religious observances at just about the same time the seasons change. Indeed, some people are so ignorant that they are offended by the idea that their Holy Day has pagan origins.

Meantime, the great clock ticks on.

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A new milestone in the history of crass

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Tweet for the day

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Tweet of the day

You’d think the guy is a Civil Commotion reader, though I doubt that. What Eicenwald is pointing toward is correct; we are headed toward a new social paradigm, and there is nothing that will be unaffected.

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Ethics and the Brave New World

Everybody who pays attention knows that technology — especially automation and artificial intelligence — is about to change the world in ways that a lot of people won’t like.

There is scarcely any job that can’t be reduced to programmable steps; even a lot of engineering work is now done by AI-driven computer software. Certainly, most manual labor can be done by robots. Not in my lifetime, but almost surely within the life of the millennials, there is going to be a huge decline in employment. Perhaps 100-million people will be needed to design, assemble, and maintain the machines. They will have jobs, and so will boutique craftsmen and artists, and certain trades not readily susceptible of automation (plumbing, say).

And that’s it. With that change in our circumstances, there will — necessarily — be changes in the behavioral rules that guide our lives. Case closed. It is going to happen.

What will become of the people who lack the skills to compete for jobs designing, building, or maintaining the machines? Are they going to be allowed to starve to death? Not likely. They are the majority, and they’ll simply destroy the machines before they lie down and starve.

But this, in turn, has implications for how we live together. Who will enjoy the rewards of the Brave New World, and who will merely subsist? And what, by the way, is mere subsistence? What comforts does that imply? Food? Most of us, I am certain, would agree that it does. Medical care? Americans don’t seem to agree about that at all. Tickets to the latest Star Wars movie? And what about population? Will limits be imposed, since they imply a burden upon the working few, as already are found in some countries with high birth rates? And who will be allowed to own pets?

Well?

Seriously: We are on the way to huge social and cultural changes and, with that, mind-cracking ethical problems. I incline to think we will adopt, necessarily, some hybrid flavor of collectivism, a mish-mash socialism — but how will the necessary balance be maintained among competing parties when so many people are susceptible to the cynical demagogy of such as Donald Trump? How will society be protected against that? After all, the Electoral College has conspicuously failed already — in no small part because many Americans are resolved to return society to some fanciful Sunnybrook Republic that never existed anyhow.

There are going to be changes in what is meant by self-governance, and how we go about it.

We need to be thinking about this, and talking about this, now. Technology journalists are; both The Atlantic (also, here), and Mother Jones, have been paying attention to the issue. So, too, have philosophers.

And — What do you know? — so have engineers. Just last week IEEE, the world’s largest professional engineering organization, released ETHICALLY ALIGNED DESIGN: A Vision for Prioritizing Human Well-being with Autonomous and Intelligent Systems. It’s not a prescriptive document, a set of standards, but mainly a set of conversation starters.

So let the conversation begin. The Brave New World is a lot closer than many Americans recognize, and we need to get ready.

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